The Iranian regime is at its weakest point in 45 years. Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei is like a gambler who has played all his cards and lost. The collapse of Iran’s strategic influence in Lebanon and Syria, along with the retreat of its forces, led to the downfall of Bashar al-Assad’s government in less than two weeks. This is the result of Khamenei’s grand gamble—igniting the Gaza war to divert attention from domestic uprisings.
Escalating Executions to Suppress Public Unrest
The Iranian regime is increasing executions to curb public dissatisfaction and unrest. According to Amnesty International, 1,000 executions have occurred in 2024 alone.
Political prisoners have been on weekly strikes for over a year, demanding an end to executions. Meanwhile, Iranian activists abroad raise global awareness through exhibitions and campaigns. In the UK, the Association of Academics in Exile has organized impactful initiatives across various cities, gaining local media attention and highlighting the regime’s human rights abuses.
The Nuclear Crisis and International Pressure
Iran’s push for nuclear weapons has heightened global concerns, particularly among major world powers. The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) reported that Iran has increased uranium enrichment to 90%, the threshold required for nuclear weapons. In response, the European powers—Britain, France, and Germany—warned in December 2024 that they would activate the snapback mechanism, which would restore all international sanctions against Tehran.
On February 3, 2025, The New York Post reported:
“The National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI) has accused Tehran of accelerating its nuclear weapons program, with two facilities rapidly working on completing a warhead capable of traveling more than 1,800 miles.”
With the return of Donald Trump to the U.S. presidency, the Iranian regime faces significant pressure. Trump intends to reinstate the maximum pressure campaign and force Iran into negotiations. However, Tehran has no leverage left for such negotiations, as these typically involve exchanging concessions.
In response to increasing discussions on potential negotiations with the U.S., Khamenei declared on February 7, 2025:
“Negotiating with the United States will not solve any of our country’s problems. We must understand this clearly. They should not make it seem like if we sit at the negotiating table, problems will be resolved. No, absolutely not! Negotiating with the U.S. solves nothing… Negotiating with such a government is neither rational, nor intelligent, nor honorable.”
Trump’s Plan to Disarm the regime
One of the first actions of Trump’s administration against the Iranian regime was imposing sanctions on an international network that funnels illicit revenue to Iran. Tammy Bruce, spokesperson for the U.S. State Department, stated:
“This network was identified for facilitating the transfer of millions of barrels of illegal Iranian oil to China via the front company Sepehr Energy, which finances Iran’s Armed Forces General Staff and supports the regime’s terrorist proxies.”
She further emphasized: “The U.S. is targeting the ships and management companies that transport Iranian oil and contribute to Iran’s destabilizing activities in the region. We will use all available tools to hold this regime accountable for its destabilizing actions and pursuit of nuclear weapons.”
A Regime Confronted by a Resilient Opposition
While Iran faces international isolation, it is also struggling with deep political, social, and economic crises at home. One of its biggest internal threats is the People’s Mojahedin Organization of Iran (PMOI/MEK) and its political coalition, the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI), which has been leading a relentless struggle against the regime for over four decades.
The expansion of PMOI/MEK resistance units inside the country has played a key role in organizing uprisings and shaking the regime’s control.
Targeted Attack on Notorious Judges
In a significant incident, two notorious judges involved in the mass execution of political prisoners were targeted in a planned attack. Regime officials claimed that the attack was carried out by an infiltrator within the judiciary system. This incident sparked celebrations among the victims’ families and widespread fear among regime officials, as they saw their own fate mirrored in the attack.
Massive Demonstration in Paris: A Show of Strength by the Iranian Resistance
Following last year’s massive opposition demonstration in Berlin, this year’s event in Paris marked an even greater milestone. According to Paris police, the anti-regime demonstration on February 8, 2025, was “unprecedented and astonishing,” causing major disruptions across the city. This event drew global attention to a well-organized and powerful alternative—one that represents the continuation of Iran’s 1979 revolution, but on a more democratic and grander scale.
Agence France-Presse (AFP) published images of the demonstration, which coincided with the anniversary of the 1979 anti-monarchical revolution. The report noted that participants carried portraits of Maryam Rajavi and Massoud Rajavi, while demanding justice, human rights, and freedom for the Iranian people.
In a video speech addressing the thousands gathered at Denfert-Rochereau Square in Paris, Maryam Rajavi, leader of the NCRI, declared:
“In the 1979 revolution, our people overthrew the monarchical dictatorship. Now, we have risen to overthrow the theocratic dictatorship and achieve a democratic revolution. This time, we will separate religion from government and ensure all ethnic groups—Kurds, Arabs, Baluchis, Turkmens—will have their full rights recognized.”
Is the Regime on the Brink of Collapse?
International pressure, domestic uprisings, and the growing power of a well-organized opposition have put the Iranian regime in a state of unprecedented fragility.
Source » eurasiareview