Iran has long been a land prone to uprisings. Over the past decades, numerous social movements have erupted, driven by a range of issues, each contributing to intellectual, political, social, and cultural transformations. For the Iranian people, the fall of Bashar al-Assad’s regime in Syria holds particular significance.
Assad, a dictator sustained by the Iranian regime, symbolizes the intertwined fate of autocratic governments. To many Iranians, his fall would be a precursor to the weakening and eventual collapse of the theocratic regime in Tehran.
As each day passes, the repercussions of Iran’s failures in the region weigh increasingly heavily on the regime. The palpable fear of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and other top officials underscores the regime’s precarious position.
Publicly, they emphasize the need to bolster the morale of their dwindling supporters, a clear indicator of the regime’s internal struggles following its regional defeats.
Acknowledgment of Weakness
In a revealing TV interview, Mohammad Ali Jannat Khah, a regime-affiliated analyst, candidly expressed his concerns about Iran’s deteriorating state. He lamented the regime’s missteps in regional policies and its faltering revolutionary ambitions, saying:
“The situation in our country is on a path that is not very promising or even disappointing. Several issues are unfolding simultaneously, one of which is the developments in the region.
“Western countries and their coalition have intensified attacks on the Houthis in Yemen. Once that conflict is resolved, their focus will shift to Iran. The fragility of our system is growing, and we may face events even more severe than those of 2022.
“We couldn’t maintain our presence west of the Euphrates for long. I have repeatedly stated that sooner or later, we would lose those areas. This strategy, rooted in the notion of ‘strategic depth,’ is unsustainable. In essence, history has slapped us.”
The Impact of Assad’s Potential Fall
Jannat Khah also addressed Assad’s fall and its influence on domestic issues, such as the controversial Chastity and Hijab bill. He noted:
“The Supreme National Security Council assessed the situation in Syria and chose not to take risks, postponing the announcement of the Hijab bill. This legislation is a potential trigger for internal crises. In my view, any measure that burdens the people further has the potential to ignite an explosion.”
A Nation on the Brink
According to Jannat Khah, even the regime’s leaders recognize the inevitability of their downfall. He remarked:
“I believe the decision-makers and leaders have reached the same conclusion as the people who once said, ‘Reformist, principlist, the game is over.’ None of them can effect meaningful change.”
He went on to describe the pervasive despair among ordinary Iranians:
“A significant portion of our population lacks motivation. When they return home at night, they feel like ticking time bombs, ready to explode at any moment. It’s as though the entire nation is waiting—waiting for something unknown, yet inevitable, to happen.”
The Path Forward
Recent developments suggest that the overthrow of Iran’s theocratic regime is not only possible but within reach. The Syrian uprising has demonstrated to the Iranian people that even a seemingly invincible dictatorship can be toppled. Iranian society is now in a state of heightened awareness and readiness, poised to achieve fundamental change through organized resistance and international solidarity.
The regime’s regional defeats, internal discontent, and growing isolation signal the beginning of the end. For the people of Iran, the dream of a free and democratic nation is no longer a distant hope but a tangible possibility.
Source » irannewsupdate